Tatung System (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 87.67

8099 Stock  TWD 87.00  6.90  8.61%   
Tatung System's future price is the expected price of Tatung System instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tatung System Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tatung System Backtesting, Tatung System Valuation, Tatung System Correlation, Tatung System Hype Analysis, Tatung System Volatility, Tatung System History as well as Tatung System Performance.
  
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Tatung System Target Price Odds to finish over 87.67

The tendency of Tatung Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 87.67  or more in 90 days
 87.00 90 days 87.67 
about 16.63
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tatung System to move over NT$ 87.67  or more in 90 days from now is about 16.63 (This Tatung System Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Tatung Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tatung System Techno price to stay between its current price of NT$ 87.00  and NT$ 87.67  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tatung System has a beta of 0.75. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Tatung System average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tatung System Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tatung System Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Tatung System Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tatung System

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tatung System Techno. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.9880.5083.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.0181.5384.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
79.0081.5284.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.0085.1392.25
Details

Tatung System Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tatung System is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tatung System's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tatung System Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tatung System within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
5.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Tatung System Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tatung System for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tatung System Techno can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Tatung System Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tatung Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tatung System's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tatung System's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding88.6 M

Tatung System Technical Analysis

Tatung System's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tatung Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tatung System Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tatung Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tatung System Predictive Forecast Models

Tatung System's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tatung System's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tatung System's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tatung System Techno

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tatung System for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tatung System Techno help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Tatung Stock Analysis

When running Tatung System's price analysis, check to measure Tatung System's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tatung System is operating at the current time. Most of Tatung System's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tatung System's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tatung System's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tatung System to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.