BJs Wholesale (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.92
| 8BJ Stock | EUR 91.50 2.00 2.14% |
BJs |
BJs Wholesale Target Price Odds to finish below 85.92
The tendency of BJs Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 85.92 or more in 90 days |
| 91.50 | 90 days | 85.92 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BJs Wholesale to drop to € 85.92 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This BJs Wholesale Club probability density function shows the probability of BJs Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BJs Wholesale Club price to stay between € 85.92 and its current price of €91.5 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon BJs Wholesale has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, BJs Wholesale average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BJs Wholesale Club will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BJs Wholesale Club has an alpha of 0.2855, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). BJs Wholesale Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BJs Wholesale
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BJs Wholesale Club. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BJs Wholesale Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BJs Wholesale is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BJs Wholesale's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BJs Wholesale Club, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BJs Wholesale within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
BJs Wholesale Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BJs Wholesale for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BJs Wholesale Club can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BJs Wholesale Club has accumulated 748.57 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.64, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BJs Wholesale Club has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BJs Wholesale until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BJs Wholesale's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BJs Wholesale Club sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BJs to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BJs Wholesale's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of BJs Wholesale shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
BJs Wholesale Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BJs Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BJs Wholesale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BJs Wholesale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.4 M |
BJs Wholesale Technical Analysis
BJs Wholesale's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BJs Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BJs Wholesale Club. In general, you should focus on analyzing BJs Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BJs Wholesale Predictive Forecast Models
BJs Wholesale's time-series forecasting models is one of many BJs Wholesale's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BJs Wholesale's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BJs Wholesale Club
Checking the ongoing alerts about BJs Wholesale for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BJs Wholesale Club help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BJs Wholesale Club has accumulated 748.57 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 7.64, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. BJs Wholesale Club has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist BJs Wholesale until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, BJs Wholesale's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like BJs Wholesale Club sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for BJs to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about BJs Wholesale's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 96.0% of BJs Wholesale shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in BJs Stock
When determining whether BJs Wholesale Club is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BJs Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bjs Wholesale Club Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bjs Wholesale Club Stock:Check out BJs Wholesale Backtesting, BJs Wholesale Valuation, BJs Wholesale Correlation, BJs Wholesale Hype Analysis, BJs Wholesale Volatility, BJs Wholesale History as well as BJs Wholesale Performance. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.