Access Bio (Korea) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5570.0
| 950130 Stock | KRW 5,750 30.00 0.52% |
Access |
Access Bio Target Price Odds to finish over 5570.0
The tendency of Access Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above W 5,570 in 90 days |
| 5,750 | 90 days | 5,570 | about 83.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Access Bio to stay above W 5,570 in 90 days from now is about 83.58 (This Access Bio probability density function shows the probability of Access Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Access Bio price to stay between W 5,570 and its current price of W5750.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Access Bio has a beta of 0.31. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Access Bio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Access Bio will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Access Bio has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Access Bio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Access Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Access Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Access Bio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Access Bio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Access Bio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Access Bio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Access Bio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 936.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Access Bio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Access Bio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Access Bio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Access Bio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Access Bio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Access Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Access Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Access Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 169 M | |
| Shares Float | 25.6 M |
Access Bio Technical Analysis
Access Bio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Access Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Access Bio. In general, you should focus on analyzing Access Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Access Bio Predictive Forecast Models
Access Bio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Access Bio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Access Bio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Access Bio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Access Bio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Access Bio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Access Bio generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Access Stock
Access Bio financial ratios help investors to determine whether Access Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Access with respect to the benefits of owning Access Bio security.