Yulon Finance (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 113.02
| 9941 Stock | TWD 117.50 0.50 0.42% |
Yulon |
Yulon Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 113.02
The tendency of Yulon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 113.02 or more in 90 days |
| 117.50 | 90 days | 113.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yulon Finance to drop to NT$ 113.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Yulon Finance Corp probability density function shows the probability of Yulon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yulon Finance Corp price to stay between NT$ 113.02 and its current price of NT$117.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yulon Finance Corp has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yulon Finance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yulon Finance Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yulon Finance Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Yulon Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yulon Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yulon Finance Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yulon Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yulon Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yulon Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yulon Finance Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yulon Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Yulon Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yulon Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yulon Finance Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yulon Finance Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yulon Finance Corp has accumulated about 8.78 B in cash with (23.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.64. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Yulon Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yulon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yulon Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yulon Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 382.1 M |
Yulon Finance Technical Analysis
Yulon Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yulon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yulon Finance Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yulon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yulon Finance Predictive Forecast Models
Yulon Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yulon Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yulon Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yulon Finance Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yulon Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yulon Finance Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yulon Finance Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Yulon Finance Corp has accumulated about 8.78 B in cash with (23.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 19.64. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Yulon Stock Analysis
When running Yulon Finance's price analysis, check to measure Yulon Finance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yulon Finance is operating at the current time. Most of Yulon Finance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yulon Finance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yulon Finance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yulon Finance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.