Bread Financial (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 83.36
| A1LL34 Stock | BRL 85.05 1.69 2.03% |
Bread |
Bread Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 83.36
The tendency of Bread Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 83.36 or more in 90 days |
| 85.05 | 90 days | 83.36 | about 90.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bread Financial to drop to R$ 83.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.59 (This Bread Financial Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Bread Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bread Financial Holdings price to stay between R$ 83.36 and its current price of R$85.05 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bread Financial has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Bread Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bread Financial Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bread Financial Holdings has an alpha of 0.1005, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bread Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bread Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bread Financial Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bread Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bread Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bread Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bread Financial Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bread Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Bread Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bread Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bread Financial Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bread Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Bread Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bread Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bread Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bread Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.9 M |
Bread Financial Technical Analysis
Bread Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bread Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bread Financial Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bread Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bread Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bread Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bread Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bread Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bread Financial Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bread Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bread Financial Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bread Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bread Stock
When determining whether Bread Financial Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Bread Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Bread Financial Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Bread Financial Holdings Stock:Check out Bread Financial Backtesting, Bread Financial Valuation, Bread Financial Correlation, Bread Financial Hype Analysis, Bread Financial Volatility, Bread Financial History as well as Bread Financial Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .