AAC Clyde (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.88
| AAC Stock | SEK 44.95 1.10 2.39% |
AAC |
AAC Clyde Target Price Odds to finish below 41.88
The tendency of AAC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 41.88 or more in 90 days |
| 44.95 | 90 days | 41.88 | about 86.09 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAC Clyde to drop to kr 41.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.09 (This AAC Clyde Space probability density function shows the probability of AAC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AAC Clyde Space price to stay between kr 41.88 and its current price of kr44.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AAC Clyde has a beta of 0.78. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AAC Clyde average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AAC Clyde Space will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AAC Clyde Space has an alpha of 0.2929, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AAC Clyde Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for AAC Clyde
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAC Clyde Space. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AAC Clyde Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAC Clyde is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAC Clyde's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAC Clyde Space, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAC Clyde within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AAC Clyde Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAC Clyde for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAC Clyde Space can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AAC Clyde Space had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.35 M. | |
| AAC Clyde Space has accumulated about 96.11 M in cash with (35.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AAC Clyde Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AAC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AAC Clyde's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AAC Clyde's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 96.1 M |
AAC Clyde Technical Analysis
AAC Clyde's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AAC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AAC Clyde Space. In general, you should focus on analyzing AAC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AAC Clyde Predictive Forecast Models
AAC Clyde's time-series forecasting models is one of many AAC Clyde's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AAC Clyde's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AAC Clyde Space
Checking the ongoing alerts about AAC Clyde for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AAC Clyde Space help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AAC Clyde Space had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 179.95 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 110.35 M. | |
| AAC Clyde Space has accumulated about 96.11 M in cash with (35.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for AAC Stock Analysis
When running AAC Clyde's price analysis, check to measure AAC Clyde's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AAC Clyde is operating at the current time. Most of AAC Clyde's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AAC Clyde's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AAC Clyde's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AAC Clyde to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.