Astonherndon Large Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.36
| AALIX Fund | USD 11.54 0.04 0.35% |
Aston/herndon |
Aston/herndon Large Target Price Odds to finish over 12.36
The tendency of Aston/herndon Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.36 or more in 90 days |
| 11.54 | 90 days | 12.36 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aston/herndon Large to move over $ 12.36 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Astonherndon Large Cap probability density function shows the probability of Aston/herndon Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astonherndon Large Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 11.54 and $ 12.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.78 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aston/herndon Large has a beta of 0.53. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aston/herndon Large average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Astonherndon Large Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Astonherndon Large Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aston/herndon Large Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aston/herndon Large
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astonherndon Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aston/herndon Large Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aston/herndon Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aston/herndon Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astonherndon Large Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aston/herndon Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Aston/herndon Large Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aston/herndon Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astonherndon Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 98.71% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Aston/herndon Large Technical Analysis
Aston/herndon Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aston/herndon Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astonherndon Large Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aston/herndon Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aston/herndon Large Predictive Forecast Models
Aston/herndon Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aston/herndon Large's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aston/herndon Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astonherndon Large Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aston/herndon Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astonherndon Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 98.71% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Aston/herndon Mutual Fund
Aston/herndon Large financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aston/herndon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aston/herndon with respect to the benefits of owning Aston/herndon Large security.
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