Aroundtown Sa Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.95

AANNF Stock  USD 2.95  0.15  5.36%   
Aroundtown's future price is the expected price of Aroundtown instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aroundtown SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aroundtown Backtesting, Aroundtown Valuation, Aroundtown Correlation, Aroundtown Hype Analysis, Aroundtown Volatility, Aroundtown History as well as Aroundtown Performance.
  
Please specify Aroundtown's target price for which you would like Aroundtown odds to be computed.

Aroundtown Target Price Odds to finish over 2.95

The tendency of Aroundtown Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.95 90 days 2.95 
about 51.53
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aroundtown to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.53 (This Aroundtown SA probability density function shows the probability of Aroundtown Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aroundtown SA has a beta of -0.58. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aroundtown are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aroundtown SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aroundtown SA has an alpha of 0.4674, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Aroundtown Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aroundtown

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aroundtown SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.152.956.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.455.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.706.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.773.113.44
Details

Aroundtown Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aroundtown is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aroundtown's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aroundtown SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aroundtown within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Aroundtown Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aroundtown for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aroundtown SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aroundtown SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Aroundtown Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aroundtown Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aroundtown's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aroundtown's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Aroundtown Technical Analysis

Aroundtown's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aroundtown Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aroundtown SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aroundtown Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aroundtown Predictive Forecast Models

Aroundtown's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aroundtown's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aroundtown's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aroundtown SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aroundtown for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aroundtown SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Aroundtown SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Aroundtown Pink Sheet

Aroundtown financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aroundtown Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aroundtown with respect to the benefits of owning Aroundtown security.