Aap Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.46E-4

AAPJ Stock  USD 0.0002  0.0001  33.33%   
AAP's future price is the expected price of AAP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AAP Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AAP Backtesting, AAP Valuation, AAP Correlation, AAP Hype Analysis, AAP Volatility, AAP History as well as AAP Performance.
  
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AAP Target Price Odds to finish over 2.46E-4

The tendency of AAP Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.0002  or more in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.0002 
about 69.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAP to move over $ 0.0002  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.95 (This AAP Inc probability density function shows the probability of AAP Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AAP Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0002  and $ 0.0002  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.02 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 7.33 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AAP will likely underperform. In addition to that AAP Inc has an alpha of 5.1659, implying that it can generate a 5.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AAP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AAP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAP Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000235.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000235.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000070.000435.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

AAP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAP Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
5.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones7.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.0001
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

AAP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAP Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AAP Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AAP Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AAP Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AAP Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AAP Inc currently holds 6.06 K in liabilities. AAP Inc has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AAP until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AAP's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AAP Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AAP's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

AAP Technical Analysis

AAP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AAP Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AAP Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AAP Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AAP Predictive Forecast Models

AAP's time-series forecasting models is one of many AAP's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AAP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AAP Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about AAP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AAP Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AAP Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AAP Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AAP Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AAP Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AAP Inc currently holds 6.06 K in liabilities. AAP Inc has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AAP until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AAP's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AAP Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for AAP to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AAP's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in AAP Pink Sheet

AAP financial ratios help investors to determine whether AAP Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AAP with respect to the benefits of owning AAP security.