Australian Bond (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.18

ABE Stock   0.03  0  3.13%   
Australian Bond's future price is the expected price of Australian Bond instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Australian Bond Exchange performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Australian Bond Backtesting, Australian Bond Valuation, Australian Bond Correlation, Australian Bond Hype Analysis, Australian Bond Volatility, Australian Bond History as well as Australian Bond Performance.
  
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Australian Bond Target Price Odds to finish over 17.18

The tendency of Australian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  17.18  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 17.18 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Bond to move over  17.18  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Australian Bond Exchange probability density function shows the probability of Australian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Bond Exchange price to stay between its current price of  0.03  and  17.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Australian Bond has a beta of 0.46. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Australian Bond average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Australian Bond Exchange will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Australian Bond Exchange has an alpha of 0.0951, implying that it can generate a 0.0951 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Australian Bond Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Australian Bond

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Bond Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.035.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.035.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.035.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Australian Bond Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Bond is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Bond's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Bond Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Bond within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.46
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Australian Bond Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Bond for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Bond Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Australian Bond had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Australian Bond has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Australian Bond has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 3.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.27 M.
Australian Bond generates negative cash flow from operations
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Australian Bond Exchange Reports Successful AGM Outcomes - TipRanks

Australian Bond Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australian Bond's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Bond's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding112.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 M

Australian Bond Technical Analysis

Australian Bond's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Bond Exchange. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Australian Bond Predictive Forecast Models

Australian Bond's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Bond's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Bond's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Australian Bond Exchange

Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Bond for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Bond Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Australian Bond had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Australian Bond has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Australian Bond has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 3.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.62 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.27 M.
Australian Bond generates negative cash flow from operations
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Australian Bond Exchange Reports Successful AGM Outcomes - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Australian Stock Analysis

When running Australian Bond's price analysis, check to measure Australian Bond's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Bond is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Bond's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Bond's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Bond's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Bond to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.