ABG Sundal (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.81

ABG Stock  NOK 7.08  0.05  0.71%   
ABG Sundal's future price is the expected price of ABG Sundal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ABG Sundal Collier performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ABG Sundal Backtesting, ABG Sundal Valuation, ABG Sundal Correlation, ABG Sundal Hype Analysis, ABG Sundal Volatility, ABG Sundal History as well as ABG Sundal Performance.
  
Please specify ABG Sundal's target price for which you would like ABG Sundal odds to be computed.

ABG Sundal Target Price Odds to finish below 2.81

The tendency of ABG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  2.81  or more in 90 days
 7.08 90 days 2.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABG Sundal to drop to  2.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ABG Sundal Collier probability density function shows the probability of ABG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ABG Sundal Collier price to stay between  2.81  and its current price of 7.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ABG Sundal has a beta of 0.0325. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ABG Sundal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ABG Sundal Collier will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ABG Sundal Collier has an alpha of 0.1794, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ABG Sundal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ABG Sundal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABG Sundal Collier. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.727.088.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.998.359.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.687.048.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.867.027.18
Details

ABG Sundal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABG Sundal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABG Sundal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABG Sundal Collier, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABG Sundal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

ABG Sundal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABG Sundal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABG Sundal Collier can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ABG Sundal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABG Sundal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABG Sundal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding444 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

ABG Sundal Technical Analysis

ABG Sundal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABG Sundal Collier. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ABG Sundal Predictive Forecast Models

ABG Sundal's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABG Sundal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABG Sundal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ABG Sundal Collier

Checking the ongoing alerts about ABG Sundal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABG Sundal Collier help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ABG Stock

ABG Sundal financial ratios help investors to determine whether ABG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ABG with respect to the benefits of owning ABG Sundal security.