Ab International Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 6.47E-4

ABQQ Stock  USD 0.0007  0.0001  12.50%   
AB International's future price is the expected price of AB International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AB International Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AB International Backtesting, AB International Valuation, AB International Correlation, AB International Hype Analysis, AB International Volatility, AB International History as well as AB International Performance.
  
Please specify AB International's target price for which you would like AB International odds to be computed.

AB International Target Price Odds to finish below 6.47E-4

The tendency of ABQQ Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0006  or more in 90 days
 0.0007 90 days 0.0006 
about 63.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AB International to drop to $ 0.0006  or more in 90 days from now is about 63.92 (This AB International Group probability density function shows the probability of ABQQ Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AB International price to stay between $ 0.0006  and its current price of $7.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.54 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AB International Group has a beta of -3.69. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding AB International Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, AB International is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover AB International Group has an alpha of 1.9259, implying that it can generate a 1.93 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AB International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AB International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AB International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000419.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000519.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000130.000619.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00070.00070.0007
Details

AB International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AB International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AB International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AB International Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AB International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.93
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.0001
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

AB International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AB International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AB International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AB International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AB International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AB International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AB International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AB International Group currently holds 1.44 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.34, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AB International has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AB International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AB International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AB International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ABQQ to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AB International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.17 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (293.79 K).
AB International Group currently holds about 371.76 K in cash with (1.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

AB International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABQQ Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AB International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AB International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding384.5 M

AB International Technical Analysis

AB International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABQQ Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AB International Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABQQ Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AB International Predictive Forecast Models

AB International's time-series forecasting models is one of many AB International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AB International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AB International

Checking the ongoing alerts about AB International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AB International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AB International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
AB International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AB International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
AB International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AB International Group currently holds 1.44 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.34, which is about average as compared to similar companies. AB International has a current ratio of 0.23, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist AB International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, AB International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like AB International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ABQQ to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about AB International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 2.93 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.17 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (293.79 K).
AB International Group currently holds about 371.76 K in cash with (1.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Additional Tools for ABQQ Pink Sheet Analysis

When running AB International's price analysis, check to measure AB International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AB International is operating at the current time. Most of AB International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AB International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AB International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AB International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.