AC SA (Poland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.8
| ACG Stock | 28.80 0.50 1.71% |
ACG |
AC SA Target Price Odds to finish below 27.8
The tendency of ACG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 27.80 or more in 90 days |
| 28.80 | 90 days | 27.80 | about 66.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AC SA to drop to 27.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 66.96 (This AC SA probability density function shows the probability of ACG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AC SA price to stay between 27.80 and its current price of 28.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.57 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AC SA has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AC SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AC SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AC SA has an alpha of 0.1263, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AC SA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AC SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AC SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AC SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AC SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AC SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AC SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AC SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AC SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0035 |
AC SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AC SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AC SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AC SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AC SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AC SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 M |
AC SA Technical Analysis
AC SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AC SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AC SA Predictive Forecast Models
AC SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many AC SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AC SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AC SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about AC SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AC SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for ACG Stock Analysis
When running AC SA's price analysis, check to measure AC SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AC SA is operating at the current time. Most of AC SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AC SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AC SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AC SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.