Agricultural Bank Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.4653

ACGBF Stock  USD 0.47  0.00  0.00%   
Agricultural Bank's future price is the expected price of Agricultural Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Agricultural Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Agricultural Bank Backtesting, Agricultural Bank Valuation, Agricultural Bank Correlation, Agricultural Bank Hype Analysis, Agricultural Bank Volatility, Agricultural Bank History as well as Agricultural Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Agricultural Bank's target price for which you would like Agricultural Bank odds to be computed.

Agricultural Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 0.4653

The tendency of Agricultural Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.47 90 days 0.47 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Agricultural Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Agricultural Bank probability density function shows the probability of Agricultural Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Agricultural Bank has a beta of -1.12. This suggests Additionally Agricultural Bank has an alpha of 0.3382, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Agricultural Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Agricultural Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agricultural Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.473.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.403.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.443.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.470.470.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Agricultural Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Agricultural Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Agricultural Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Agricultural Bank.

Agricultural Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Agricultural Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Agricultural Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Agricultural Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Agricultural Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Agricultural Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Agricultural Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Agricultural Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agricultural Bank has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Agricultural Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Agricultural Bank has accumulated about 2.8 T in cash with (1.47 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.0, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Agricultural Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Agricultural Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Agricultural Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agricultural Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding350 B

Agricultural Bank Technical Analysis

Agricultural Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Agricultural Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Agricultural Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Agricultural Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Agricultural Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Agricultural Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Agricultural Bank's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Agricultural Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Agricultural Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Agricultural Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Agricultural Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Agricultural Bank has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Agricultural Bank had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Agricultural Bank has accumulated about 2.8 T in cash with (1.47 T) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.0, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Agricultural Pink Sheet

Agricultural Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agricultural Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agricultural with respect to the benefits of owning Agricultural Bank security.