Archean Chemical (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 696.27
| ACI Stock | 698.35 9.35 1.32% |
Archean |
Archean Chemical Target Price Odds to finish over 696.27
The tendency of Archean Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 696.27 in 90 days |
| 698.35 | 90 days | 696.27 | about 35.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archean Chemical to stay above 696.27 in 90 days from now is about 35.6 (This Archean Chemical Industries probability density function shows the probability of Archean Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archean Chemical Ind price to stay between 696.27 and its current price of 698.35 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Archean Chemical has a beta of 0.63. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Archean Chemical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Archean Chemical Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Archean Chemical Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Archean Chemical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Archean Chemical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archean Chemical Ind. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Archean Chemical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archean Chemical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archean Chemical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archean Chemical Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archean Chemical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 30.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Archean Chemical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archean Chemical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archean Chemical Ind can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Archean Chemical Ind generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archean Chemical Ind is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Archean Chemical Industries Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Second Quarter and Six Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Archean Chemical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archean Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archean Chemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archean Chemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 123.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 B |
Archean Chemical Technical Analysis
Archean Chemical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archean Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archean Chemical Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archean Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Archean Chemical Predictive Forecast Models
Archean Chemical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Archean Chemical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Archean Chemical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Archean Chemical Ind
Checking the ongoing alerts about Archean Chemical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archean Chemical Ind help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Archean Chemical Ind generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archean Chemical Ind is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Archean Chemical Industries Limited Reports Earnings Results for the Second Quarter and Six Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Other Information on Investing in Archean Stock
Archean Chemical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archean Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archean with respect to the benefits of owning Archean Chemical security.