Alpha Cognition Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.88
| ACOG Stock | 4.88 0.42 7.92% |
Alpha Cognition Target Price Odds to finish over 4.88
The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.88 | 90 days | 4.88 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Cognition to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Alpha Cognition probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Alpha Cognition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Cognition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Cognition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alpha Cognition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Cognition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Cognition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Cognition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Cognition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Alpha Cognition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Cognition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Cognition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (14.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 M. | |
| Alpha Cognition generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alpha Cognition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TipRanks - XAI Initiates Alpha Cognition With Hold Rating, Announces Target Price 5 - |
Alpha Cognition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Cognition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Cognition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.5 M |
Alpha Cognition Technical Analysis
Alpha Cognition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Cognition. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alpha Cognition Predictive Forecast Models
Alpha Cognition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Cognition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Cognition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alpha Cognition
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Cognition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Cognition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (14.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 M. | |
| Alpha Cognition generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alpha Cognition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: TipRanks - XAI Initiates Alpha Cognition With Hold Rating, Announces Target Price 5 - |
Check out Alpha Cognition Analysis, Alpha Cognition Valuation, Alpha Cognition Correlation, Alpha Cognition Hype Analysis, Alpha Cognition Volatility, Alpha Cognition Price History as well as Alpha Cognition Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Alpha Stock please use our How to Invest in Alpha Cognition guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Can Biotechnology industry sustain growth momentum? Does Alpha have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alpha Cognition. If investors know Alpha will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Alpha Cognition demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Alpha Cognition using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Alpha Cognition's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Alpha Cognition's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alpha Cognition's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alpha Cognition represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Alpha Cognition's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.