Alpha Cognition Stock Performance
| ACOG Stock | 5.95 0.25 4.39% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.51, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alpha Cognition's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alpha Cognition is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Alpha Cognition has a negative expected return of -0.0779%. Please make sure to confirm Alpha Cognition's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Alpha Cognition performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Alpha Cognition has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Alpha Cognition is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 4.39 | Five Day Return 7.59 | Year To Date Return (8.46) | Ten Year Return (16.20) | All Time Return (16.20) |
Last Split Factor 1:25 | Last Split Date 2024-11-05 |
1 | Will Alpha Cognition Inc. stock outperform growth indexes - Weekly Investment Summary AI Optimized Trading Strategy Guides - newser.com | 11/10/2025 |
2 | Alpha Cognition Inc. Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates | 11/13/2025 |
3 | Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Alpha Cognition Inc. Q3 2025 | 11/14/2025 |
4 | Alpha Cognition prices 35M public offering of common shares - MSN | 11/17/2025 |
5 | Alpha Cognition FY2025 EPS Forecast Lowered by HC Wainwright | 11/26/2025 |
6 | We Think Alpha Cognition Can Afford To Drive Business Growth | 12/08/2025 |
7 | H.C. Wainwright Maintains Alpha Cognition With Buy Rating, Maintains Target Price 18 - | 12/22/2025 |
8 | Hedge funds own 20 percent of Alpha Cognition Inc. shares but individual investors control 53 percent of the company | 01/06/2026 |
9 | Acquisition by Du Henry Huy of 15982 shares of Alpha Cognition at 6.56 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/09/2026 |
10 | Insider Traders Lose US128k As Alpha Cognition Drops | 01/16/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.5 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -26.7 K |
Alpha Cognition Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 660.00 in Alpha Cognition on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (65.00) from holding Alpha Cognition or give up 9.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. Alpha Cognition is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.2758% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 38% of stocks are less volatile than Alpha, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Alpha Cognition Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 5.95 | 90 days | 5.95 | about 60.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Cognition to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.75 (This Alpha Cognition probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Alpha Cognition has a beta of 0.51. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alpha Cognition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Cognition will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpha Cognition has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alpha Cognition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Cognition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Cognition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alpha Cognition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Cognition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Cognition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Cognition, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Cognition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Alpha Cognition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Cognition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Cognition can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (14.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 M. | |
| Alpha Cognition generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alpha Cognition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Traders Lose US128k As Alpha Cognition Drops |
Alpha Cognition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Cognition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Cognition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 48.5 M |
Alpha Cognition Fundamentals Growth
Alpha Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Alpha Cognition, and Alpha Cognition fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Alpha Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -1.26 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.42 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.62) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (1.87) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 81.73 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 21.74 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.81 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 17.42 X | ||||
| Gross Profit | 5.71 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (14.37 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (14.64 M) | ||||
| Total Debt | 911.46 K | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.09 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.76 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.38) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 129.37 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 50.74 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (76.29 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 46.9 M | ||||
About Alpha Cognition Performance
By analyzing Alpha Cognition's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Alpha Cognition's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Alpha Cognition has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Alpha Cognition has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.33) | (0.35) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.23) | (0.21) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.33) | (0.35) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.32) | (0.33) |
Things to note about Alpha Cognition performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Cognition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Cognition help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alpha Cognition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alpha Cognition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Net Loss for the year was (14.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 M. | |
| Alpha Cognition generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Alpha Cognition has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insider Traders Lose US128k As Alpha Cognition Drops |
- Analyzing Alpha Cognition's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Alpha Cognition's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Alpha Cognition's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Alpha Cognition's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Alpha Cognition's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Alpha Cognition's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Alpha Cognition's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Alpha Stock analysis
When running Alpha Cognition's price analysis, check to measure Alpha Cognition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alpha Cognition is operating at the current time. Most of Alpha Cognition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alpha Cognition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alpha Cognition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alpha Cognition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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