Acme United Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.67
| ACU Stock | USD 44.75 1.79 4.17% |
Acme |
Acme United Target Price Odds to finish below 41.67
The tendency of Acme Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 41.67 or more in 90 days |
| 44.75 | 90 days | 41.67 | about 38.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acme United to drop to $ 41.67 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.79 (This Acme United probability density function shows the probability of Acme Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acme United price to stay between $ 41.67 and its current price of $44.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.74 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Acme United will likely underperform. Additionally Acme United has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Acme United Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acme United
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acme United. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acme United's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acme United Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acme United is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acme United's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acme United, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acme United within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Acme United Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acme United for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acme United can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acme United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acme United is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Acme United paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Acme United Corporation to Present at the 16th Annual Southwest IDEAS Investor Conference |
Acme United Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acme Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acme United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acme United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 M |
Acme United Technical Analysis
Acme United's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acme Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acme United. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acme Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acme United Predictive Forecast Models
Acme United's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acme United's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acme United's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acme United
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acme United for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acme United help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acme United generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acme United is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 24th of October 2024 Acme United paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Acme United Corporation to Present at the 16th Annual Southwest IDEAS Investor Conference |
Additional Tools for Acme Stock Analysis
When running Acme United's price analysis, check to measure Acme United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acme United is operating at the current time. Most of Acme United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acme United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acme United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acme United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.