Acuvi AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.9

ACUVI Stock   14.90  0.10  0.68%   
Acuvi AB's future price is the expected price of Acuvi AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Acuvi AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Acuvi AB Backtesting, Acuvi AB Valuation, Acuvi AB Correlation, Acuvi AB Hype Analysis, Acuvi AB Volatility, Acuvi AB History as well as Acuvi AB Performance.
  
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Acuvi AB Target Price Odds to finish below 14.9

The tendency of Acuvi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 14.90 90 days 14.90 
about 5.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acuvi AB to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.18 (This Acuvi AB probability density function shows the probability of Acuvi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acuvi AB has a beta of 0.96. This suggests Acuvi AB market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Acuvi AB is expected to follow. Additionally Acuvi AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Acuvi AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Acuvi AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acuvi AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.2514.9017.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1015.7518.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7015.3417.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7714.8714.96
Details

Acuvi AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acuvi AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acuvi AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acuvi AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acuvi AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Acuvi AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acuvi AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acuvi AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acuvi AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Acuvi AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Acuvi AB Technical Analysis

Acuvi AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acuvi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acuvi AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acuvi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Acuvi AB Predictive Forecast Models

Acuvi AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acuvi AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acuvi AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Acuvi AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acuvi AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acuvi AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acuvi AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Acuvi AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Acuvi Stock Analysis

When running Acuvi AB's price analysis, check to measure Acuvi AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acuvi AB is operating at the current time. Most of Acuvi AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acuvi AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acuvi AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acuvi AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.