Adacel Tech (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.23
| ADA Stock | 0.45 0.02 4.65% |
Adacel |
Adacel Tech Target Price Odds to finish over 16.23
The tendency of Adacel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.23 or more in 90 days |
| 0.45 | 90 days | 16.23 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adacel Tech to move over 16.23 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Adacel Tech probability density function shows the probability of Adacel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adacel Tech price to stay between its current price of 0.45 and 16.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adacel Tech has a beta of 0.74. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adacel Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adacel Tech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adacel Tech has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Adacel Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adacel Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adacel Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adacel Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adacel Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adacel Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adacel Tech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adacel Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Adacel Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adacel Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adacel Tech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adacel Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adacel Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Adacel Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adacel Tech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.17 M. | |
| Adacel Tech generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Adacel Technologies Sees Change in Major Stakeholder Holding - TipRanks |
Adacel Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adacel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adacel Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adacel Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Adacel Tech Technical Analysis
Adacel Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adacel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adacel Tech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adacel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adacel Tech Predictive Forecast Models
Adacel Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adacel Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adacel Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adacel Tech
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adacel Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adacel Tech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adacel Tech generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adacel Tech has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Adacel Tech has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adacel Tech has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 30.97 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.17 M. | |
| Adacel Tech generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Adacel Technologies Sees Change in Major Stakeholder Holding - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Adacel Stock Analysis
When running Adacel Tech's price analysis, check to measure Adacel Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adacel Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Adacel Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adacel Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adacel Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adacel Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.