Ads Tec Energy Plc Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.21

ADSEW Stock  USD 3.21  0.04  1.26%   
ADS TEC's future price is the expected price of ADS TEC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ADS TEC ENERGY PLC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ADS TEC Backtesting, ADS TEC Valuation, ADS TEC Correlation, ADS TEC Hype Analysis, ADS TEC Volatility, ADS TEC History as well as ADS TEC Performance.
  
Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop to 2.79 in 2024. Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to -6.01 in 2024. Please specify ADS TEC's target price for which you would like ADS TEC odds to be computed.

ADS TEC Target Price Odds to finish below 2.21

The tendency of ADS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.21  or more in 90 days
 3.21 90 days 2.21 
about 21.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ADS TEC to drop to $ 2.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.72 (This ADS TEC ENERGY PLC probability density function shows the probability of ADS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ADS TEC ENERGY price to stay between $ 2.21  and its current price of $3.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ADS TEC has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ADS TEC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ADS TEC ENERGY PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ADS TEC ENERGY PLC has an alpha of 0.2467, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ADS TEC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ADS TEC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ADS TEC ENERGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ADS TEC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.67324.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.21323.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.15133.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.073.273.46
Details

ADS TEC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ADS TEC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ADS TEC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ADS TEC ENERGY PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ADS TEC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.68
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

ADS TEC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ADS TEC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ADS TEC ENERGY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADS TEC ENERGY is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ADS TEC ENERGY appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ADS TEC ENERGY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
ADS TEC ENERGY PLC has accumulated 17.34 M in total debt. ADS TEC ENERGY has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about ADS TEC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 105.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ADS TEC generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pivots Trading Plans and Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily

ADS TEC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ADS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ADS TEC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ADS TEC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.2 M

ADS TEC Technical Analysis

ADS TEC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ADS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ADS TEC ENERGY PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing ADS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ADS TEC Predictive Forecast Models

ADS TEC's time-series forecasting models is one of many ADS TEC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ADS TEC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ADS TEC ENERGY

Checking the ongoing alerts about ADS TEC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ADS TEC ENERGY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ADS TEC ENERGY is way too risky over 90 days horizon
ADS TEC ENERGY appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
ADS TEC ENERGY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
ADS TEC ENERGY PLC has accumulated 17.34 M in total debt. ADS TEC ENERGY has a current ratio of 0.87, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about ADS TEC's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 105.18 M. Net Loss for the year was (53.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
ADS TEC generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Pivots Trading Plans and Risk Controls - Stock Traders Daily

Additional Tools for ADS Stock Analysis

When running ADS TEC's price analysis, check to measure ADS TEC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ADS TEC is operating at the current time. Most of ADS TEC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ADS TEC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ADS TEC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ADS TEC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.