Adventure Box (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.22
| ADVBOX Stock | SEK 0.22 0.01 4.76% |
Adventure |
Adventure Box Target Price Odds to finish below 0.22
The tendency of Adventure Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.22 | 90 days | 0.22 | about 16.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adventure Box to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 16.11 (This Adventure Box Technology probability density function shows the probability of Adventure Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adventure Box Technology has a beta of -1.04. This suggests Additionally Adventure Box Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Adventure Box Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adventure Box
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adventure Box Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adventure Box Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adventure Box is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adventure Box's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adventure Box Technology, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adventure Box within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Adventure Box Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adventure Box for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adventure Box Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adventure Box generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adventure Box has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Adventure Box has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adventure Box has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 789 K. Net Loss for the year was (45.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 M. | |
| Adventure Box Technology has accumulated about 42.64 M in cash with (17.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.83, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Adventure Box Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adventure Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adventure Box's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adventure Box's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29.6 M |
Adventure Box Technical Analysis
Adventure Box's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adventure Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adventure Box Technology. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adventure Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adventure Box Predictive Forecast Models
Adventure Box's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adventure Box's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adventure Box's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adventure Box Technology
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adventure Box for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adventure Box Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adventure Box generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adventure Box has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Adventure Box has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Adventure Box has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 789 K. Net Loss for the year was (45.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.7 M. | |
| Adventure Box Technology has accumulated about 42.64 M in cash with (17.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.83, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Adventure Stock
Adventure Box financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adventure Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adventure with respect to the benefits of owning Adventure Box security.