Adventure Box (Sweden) Volatility
| ADVBOX Stock | SEK 0.19 0.01 5.00% |
Adventure Box Technology secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0746, which signifies that the company had a -0.0746% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Adventure Box Technology exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Adventure Box's Mean Deviation of 4.1, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Standard Deviation of 6.19 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Adventure Box's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Adventure Box Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Adventure daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Adventure's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Adventure Box volatility.
Adventure |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Adventure Box can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Adventure Box at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Adventure Box's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities.
Moving against Adventure Stock
Adventure Box Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Adventure Box's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Adventure stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Adventure stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Adventure Box's beta of -0.81 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Adventure Box stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Adventure Box Technology is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Adventure Box Technology is a potential penny stock. Although Adventure Box may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Adventure Box Technology. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Adventure instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Adventure Box Technology Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Adventure Box correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Adventure Beta |
Adventure standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 6.22 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Adventure Box's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Adventure Box's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in adventure stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Adventure Box.
Adventure Box Technology Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Adventure Box stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Adventure Box's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Adventure Box's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Adventure Box's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Adventure Box's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Adventure Box's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Adventure Box's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Adventure Box's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Adventure Box Technology Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Adventure Box Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adventure Box Technology has a beta of -0.809 . This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Adventure Box are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Adventure Box Technology is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adventure Box or Communication Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adventure Box's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adventure stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Adventure Box Technology has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Adventure Box Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Adventure Box Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Adventure Box is -1340.05. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 38.69 and standard deviation of 6.22. The mean deviation of Adventure Box Technology is currently at 4.06. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.76
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Adventure Box Stock Return Volatility
Adventure Box historical daily return volatility represents how much of Adventure Box stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 6.2199% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7444% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Adventure Box Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Adventure Box or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Adventure Box may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Adventure's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Adventure Box and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Adventure Box fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Adventure Box Technology AB develops a platform that allows users to create, share, and play computer games online. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Adventure Box is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange in Sweden.
Adventure Box's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Adventure Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Adventure Box's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Adventure Box's volatility to invest better
Higher Adventure Box's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Adventure Box Technology stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Adventure Box Technology stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Adventure Box Technology investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Adventure Box's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Adventure Box's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Adventure Box Investment Opportunity
Adventure Box Technology has a volatility of 6.22 and is 8.41 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 55 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Adventure Box. You can use Adventure Box Technology to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Adventure Box to be traded at kr0.1805 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Adventure Box Technology and DJI is -0.1 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Adventure Box Technology and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Adventure Box Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Adventure Box's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adventure Box's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Adventure Box stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.7103 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (1,112) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.19 | |||
| Variance | 38.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Adventure Box Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Adventure Box as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Adventure Box's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Adventure Box's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Adventure Box Technology.
Complementary Tools for Adventure Stock analysis
When running Adventure Box's price analysis, check to measure Adventure Box's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adventure Box is operating at the current time. Most of Adventure Box's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adventure Box's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adventure Box's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adventure Box to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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