Adyen NV (Netherlands) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1322.0
| ADYEN Stock | 1,326 36.00 2.79% |
Adyen |
Adyen NV Target Price Odds to finish below 1322.0
The tendency of Adyen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,322 or more in 90 days |
| 1,326 | 90 days | 1,322 | about 34.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adyen NV to drop to 1,322 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.45 (This Adyen NV probability density function shows the probability of Adyen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adyen NV price to stay between 1,322 and its current price of 1326.4 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adyen NV has a beta of 0.88. This suggests Adyen NV market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Adyen NV is expected to follow. Additionally Adyen NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Adyen NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adyen NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adyen NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Adyen NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adyen NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adyen NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adyen NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adyen NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 59.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Adyen NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adyen NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adyen NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Adyen NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adyen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adyen NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adyen NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31 M |
Adyen NV Technical Analysis
Adyen NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adyen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adyen NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adyen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adyen NV Predictive Forecast Models
Adyen NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adyen NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adyen NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adyen NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adyen NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adyen NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Adyen Stock
Adyen NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adyen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adyen with respect to the benefits of owning Adyen NV security.