Alaska Energy Metals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.15
| AEMC Stock | 0.12 0.01 7.69% |
Alaska |
Alaska Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.15
The tendency of Alaska Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.15 after 90 days |
| 0.12 | 90 days | 0.15 | about 22.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alaska Energy to stay under 0.15 after 90 days from now is about 22.86 (This Alaska Energy Metals probability density function shows the probability of Alaska Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alaska Energy Metals price to stay between its current price of 0.12 and 0.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alaska Energy Metals has a beta of -0.0996. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alaska Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alaska Energy Metals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alaska Energy Metals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alaska Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alaska Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alaska Energy Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alaska Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alaska Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alaska Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alaska Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alaska Energy Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alaska Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Alaska Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alaska Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alaska Energy Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alaska Energy Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alaska Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alaska Energy Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.89 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 224.05 K. | |
| Alaska Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lowes Companies Quote - Press Release - The Globe and Mail |
Alaska Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alaska Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alaska Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alaska Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.5 M |
Alaska Energy Technical Analysis
Alaska Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alaska Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alaska Energy Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alaska Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alaska Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Alaska Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alaska Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alaska Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alaska Energy Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alaska Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alaska Energy Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alaska Energy Metals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Alaska Energy Metals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Alaska Energy Metals has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.89 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 224.05 K. | |
| Alaska Energy generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lowes Companies Quote - Press Release - The Globe and Mail |
Additional Tools for Alaska Stock Analysis
When running Alaska Energy's price analysis, check to measure Alaska Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alaska Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Alaska Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alaska Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alaska Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alaska Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.