Aer Energy Resources Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.9E-5
AERN Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
AER |
AER Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 4.9E-5
The tendency of AER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.000049 in 90 days |
0.0001 | 90 days | 0.000049 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AER Energy to stay above $ 0.000049 in 90 days from now is under 4 (This AER Energy Resources probability density function shows the probability of AER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AER Energy Resources price to stay between $ 0.000049 and its current price of $1.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AER Energy has the beta coefficient that is very close to zero. This suggests the returns on DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL and AER Energy do not appear to be highly reactive. Additionally It does not look like AER Energy's alpha can have any bearing on the current valuation. AER Energy Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for AER Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AER Energy Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AER Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AER Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AER Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AER Energy Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AER Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000024 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.00 |
AER Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AER Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AER Energy Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.AER Energy Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
AER Energy Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
AER Energy Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.72 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.58 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.72 K. | |
AER Energy Resources currently holds about 43.61 K in cash with (475.38 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
AER Energy Resources has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
AER Energy Technical Analysis
AER Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AER Energy Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing AER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AER Energy Predictive Forecast Models
AER Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many AER Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AER Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AER Energy Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about AER Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AER Energy Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AER Energy Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
AER Energy Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
AER Energy Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.72 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.58 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.72 K. | |
AER Energy Resources currently holds about 43.61 K in cash with (475.38 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
AER Energy Resources has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out AER Energy Backtesting, AER Energy Valuation, AER Energy Correlation, AER Energy Hype Analysis, AER Energy Volatility, AER Energy History as well as AER Energy Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AER Energy. If investors know AER will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AER Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.01) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 10.631 | Return On Assets (0.33) | Return On Equity (0.02) |
The market value of AER Energy Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AER that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AER Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AER Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AER Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AER Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AER Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AER Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AER Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.