AIRA Factoring (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.5723
| AF Stock | 0.59 0.01 1.67% |
AIRA |
AIRA Factoring Target Price Odds to finish over 0.5723
The tendency of AIRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.57 in 90 days |
| 0.59 | 90 days | 0.57 | about 76.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIRA Factoring to stay above 0.57 in 90 days from now is about 76.35 (This AIRA Factoring Public probability density function shows the probability of AIRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIRA Factoring Public price to stay between 0.57 and its current price of 0.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.97 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.58 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AIRA Factoring will likely underperform. Additionally AIRA Factoring Public has an alpha of 0.2173, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AIRA Factoring Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AIRA Factoring
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIRA Factoring Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AIRA Factoring Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIRA Factoring is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIRA Factoring's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIRA Factoring Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIRA Factoring within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
AIRA Factoring Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIRA Factoring for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIRA Factoring Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AIRA Factoring had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AIRA Factoring has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AIRA Factoring generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
AIRA Factoring Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AIRA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AIRA Factoring's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIRA Factoring's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
AIRA Factoring Technical Analysis
AIRA Factoring's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIRA Factoring Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AIRA Factoring Predictive Forecast Models
AIRA Factoring's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIRA Factoring's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIRA Factoring's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AIRA Factoring Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about AIRA Factoring for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIRA Factoring Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AIRA Factoring had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| AIRA Factoring has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AIRA Factoring generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in AIRA Stock
AIRA Factoring financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIRA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIRA with respect to the benefits of owning AIRA Factoring security.