Aura FAT Projects Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.15
| AFARDelisted Stock | USD 11.68 0.00 0.00% |
Aura |
Aura FAT Target Price Odds to finish over 11.15
The tendency of Aura Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 11.15 in 90 days |
| 11.68 | 90 days | 11.15 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aura FAT to stay above $ 11.15 in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Aura FAT Projects probability density function shows the probability of Aura Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aura FAT Projects price to stay between $ 11.15 and its current price of $11.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aura FAT has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aura FAT average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aura FAT Projects will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aura FAT Projects has an alpha of 0.0213, implying that it can generate a 0.0213 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aura FAT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aura FAT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aura FAT Projects. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aura FAT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aura FAT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aura FAT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aura FAT Projects, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aura FAT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Aura FAT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aura FAT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aura FAT Projects can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aura FAT Projects is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aura FAT Projects generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aura FAT Projects has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Aura FAT Projects currently holds about 531.31 K in cash with (677.44 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Aura FAT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aura Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aura FAT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aura FAT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 233.1 K |
Aura FAT Technical Analysis
Aura FAT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aura Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aura FAT Projects. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aura Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aura FAT Predictive Forecast Models
Aura FAT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aura FAT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aura FAT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aura FAT Projects
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aura FAT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aura FAT Projects help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aura FAT Projects is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Aura FAT Projects generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aura FAT Projects has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Aura FAT Projects currently holds about 531.31 K in cash with (677.44 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Over 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Aura Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Aura FAT Projects check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Aura FAT's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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