Gensource Potash Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 29.93
| AGCCF Stock | USD 0.06 0.00 0.00% |
Gensource |
Gensource Potash Target Price Odds to finish over 29.93
The tendency of Gensource Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 29.93 or more in 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 29.93 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gensource Potash to move over $ 29.93 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Gensource Potash probability density function shows the probability of Gensource Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gensource Potash price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 29.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gensource Potash has a beta of -6.24. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Gensource Potash are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Gensource Potash is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Gensource Potash has an alpha of 3.4825, implying that it can generate a 3.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gensource Potash Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gensource Potash
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gensource Potash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gensource Potash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gensource Potash Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gensource Potash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gensource Potash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gensource Potash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gensource Potash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -6.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Gensource Potash Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gensource Potash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gensource Potash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gensource Potash is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gensource Potash has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gensource Potash appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gensource Potash has accumulated 2.94 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Gensource Potash has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gensource Potash until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gensource Potash's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gensource Potash sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gensource to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gensource Potash's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Gensource Potash has accumulated about 505.48 K in cash with (3.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Gensource Potash Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gensource Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gensource Potash's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gensource Potash's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 420.5 M |
Gensource Potash Technical Analysis
Gensource Potash's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gensource Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gensource Potash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gensource Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gensource Potash Predictive Forecast Models
Gensource Potash's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gensource Potash's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gensource Potash's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gensource Potash
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gensource Potash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gensource Potash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gensource Potash is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Gensource Potash has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Gensource Potash appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Gensource Potash has accumulated 2.94 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Gensource Potash has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gensource Potash until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gensource Potash's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gensource Potash sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gensource to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gensource Potash's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Gensource Potash has accumulated about 505.48 K in cash with (3.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Gensource Pink Sheet
Gensource Potash financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gensource Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gensource with respect to the benefits of owning Gensource Potash security.