Gensource Potash Stock Performance

AGCCF Stock  USD 0.07  0.02  40.00%   
Gensource Potash holds a performance score of 14 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 11.36, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Gensource Potash will likely underperform. Use Gensource Potash treynor ratio, downside variance, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to analyze future returns on Gensource Potash.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gensource Potash are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile fundamental indicators, Gensource Potash reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow748.9 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.2 M
  

Gensource Potash Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4.00  in Gensource Potash on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3.00  from holding Gensource Potash or generate 75.0% return on investment over 90 days. Gensource Potash is currently producing 14.7778% returns and takes up 79.7362% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Gensource, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gensource Potash is expected to generate 105.72 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 105.72 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Gensource Potash Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Gensource Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 1.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gensource Potash to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.75 (This Gensource Potash probability density function shows the probability of Gensource Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 11.36 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gensource Potash will likely underperform. In addition to that Gensource Potash has an alpha of 12.6017, implying that it can generate a 12.6 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Gensource Potash Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gensource Potash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gensource Potash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gensource Potash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0753.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0653.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0679.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.010.030.08
Details

Gensource Potash Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gensource Potash is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gensource Potash's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gensource Potash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gensource Potash within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
12.60
β
Beta against Dow Jones11.36
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Gensource Potash Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gensource Potash for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gensource Potash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gensource Potash is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Gensource Potash has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gensource Potash appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Gensource Potash has accumulated 2.94 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Gensource Potash has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gensource Potash until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gensource Potash's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gensource Potash sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gensource to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gensource Potash's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Gensource Potash has accumulated about 505.48 K in cash with (3.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Gensource Potash Fundamentals Growth

Gensource Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gensource Potash, and Gensource Potash fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gensource Pink Sheet performance.

About Gensource Potash Performance

By analyzing Gensource Potash's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Gensource Potash's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Gensource Potash has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Gensource Potash has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Gensource Potash Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a fertilizer development company in Canada. Gensource Potash Corporation is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada. Gensource Potash is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Gensource Potash performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gensource Potash for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Gensource Potash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gensource Potash is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Gensource Potash has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Gensource Potash appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Gensource Potash has accumulated 2.94 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Gensource Potash has a current ratio of 0.45, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gensource Potash until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gensource Potash's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gensource Potash sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gensource to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gensource Potash's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (4.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Gensource Potash has accumulated about 505.48 K in cash with (3.78 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Evaluating Gensource Potash's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gensource Potash's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Gensource Potash's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gensource Potash's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gensource Potash's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gensource Potash's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gensource Potash's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gensource Potash's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Gensource Potash's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gensource Potash's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gensource Potash's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Gensource Pink Sheet analysis

When running Gensource Potash's price analysis, check to measure Gensource Potash's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gensource Potash is operating at the current time. Most of Gensource Potash's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gensource Potash's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gensource Potash's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gensource Potash to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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