AGCO (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 100.89
| AGJ Stock | EUR 95.66 2.02 2.16% |
AGCO |
AGCO Target Price Odds to finish below 100.89
The tendency of AGCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 100.89 after 90 days |
| 95.66 | 90 days | 100.89 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AGCO to stay under € 100.89 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This AGCO Corporation probability density function shows the probability of AGCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AGCO price to stay between its current price of € 95.66 and € 100.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AGCO has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AGCO average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AGCO Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AGCO Corporation has an alpha of 0.2207, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). AGCO Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AGCO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGCO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AGCO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AGCO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AGCO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AGCO Corporation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AGCO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
AGCO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AGCO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AGCO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has €1.26 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
AGCO Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AGCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AGCO's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGCO's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.6 M |
AGCO Technical Analysis
AGCO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AGCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AGCO Corporation. In general, you should focus on analyzing AGCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AGCO Predictive Forecast Models
AGCO's time-series forecasting models is one of many AGCO's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AGCO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AGCO
Checking the ongoing alerts about AGCO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AGCO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company has €1.26 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in AGCO Stock
When determining whether AGCO offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AGCO's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Agco Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Agco Corporation Stock:Check out AGCO Backtesting, AGCO Valuation, AGCO Correlation, AGCO Hype Analysis, AGCO Volatility, AGCO History as well as AGCO Performance. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.