Adapthealth Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.83
| AHCO Stock | USD 9.86 0.03 0.30% |
Adapthealth |
Adapthealth Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 9.83
The tendency of Adapthealth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.83 or more in 90 days |
| 9.86 | 90 days | 9.83 | about 7.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adapthealth Corp to drop to $ 9.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.23 (This Adapthealth Corp probability density function shows the probability of Adapthealth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adapthealth Corp price to stay between $ 9.83 and its current price of $9.86 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.72 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Adapthealth Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Adapthealth Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Adapthealth Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Adapthealth Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adapthealth Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adapthealth Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Adapthealth Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adapthealth Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adapthealth Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adapthealth Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adapthealth Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Adapthealth Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adapthealth Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adapthealth Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Adapthealth Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adapthealth Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (678.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 490.83 M. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foundry Partners LLC Acquires 284,612 Shares of AdaptHealth Corp. - MarketBeat |
Adapthealth Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adapthealth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adapthealth Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adapthealth Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.1 M |
Adapthealth Corp Technical Analysis
Adapthealth Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adapthealth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adapthealth Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adapthealth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Adapthealth Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Adapthealth Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adapthealth Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adapthealth Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Adapthealth Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Adapthealth Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adapthealth Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Adapthealth Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Adapthealth Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.2 B. Net Loss for the year was (678.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 490.83 M. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Foundry Partners LLC Acquires 284,612 Shares of AdaptHealth Corp. - MarketBeat |
Check out Adapthealth Corp Backtesting, Adapthealth Corp Valuation, Adapthealth Corp Correlation, Adapthealth Corp Hype Analysis, Adapthealth Corp Volatility, Adapthealth Corp History as well as Adapthealth Corp Performance. To learn how to invest in Adapthealth Stock, please use our How to Invest in Adapthealth Corp guide.You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adapthealth Corp. If investors know Adapthealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adapthealth Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.444 | Earnings Share (1.67) | Revenue Per Share 24.465 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 | Return On Assets 0.0411 |
The market value of Adapthealth Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adapthealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adapthealth Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adapthealth Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adapthealth Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adapthealth Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adapthealth Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adapthealth Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adapthealth Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.