American Heritage International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.0E-4
| AHII Stock | USD 0.0004 0.00 0.00% |
American Heritage Target Price Odds to finish over 4.0E-4
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.0004 | 90 days | 0.0004 | about 89.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Heritage to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.96 (This American Heritage International probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Heritage International has a beta of -1.36. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding American Heritage International are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, American Heritage is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally American Heritage International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. American Heritage Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Heritage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Heritage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Heritage Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Heritage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Heritage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Heritage International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Heritage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
American Heritage Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Heritage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Heritage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Heritage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Heritage has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| American Heritage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Heritage has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| American Heritage International currently holds 73.96 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.02, which is about average as compared to similar companies. American Heritage has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about American Heritage's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 15. Net Loss for the year was (168.76 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.64 K. | |
| American Heritage International currently holds about 110.1 K in cash with (120.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| American Heritage has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
American Heritage Technical Analysis
American Heritage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Heritage International. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Heritage Predictive Forecast Models
American Heritage's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Heritage's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Heritage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Heritage
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Heritage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Heritage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Heritage generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Heritage has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| American Heritage has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Heritage has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| American Heritage International currently holds 73.96 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.02, which is about average as compared to similar companies. American Heritage has a current ratio of 0.95, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about American Heritage's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 15. Net Loss for the year was (168.76 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 37.64 K. | |
| American Heritage International currently holds about 110.1 K in cash with (120.53 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| American Heritage has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Check out American Heritage Backtesting, American Heritage Valuation, American Heritage Correlation, American Heritage Hype Analysis, American Heritage Volatility, American Heritage History as well as American Heritage Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Heritage. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Heritage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of American Heritage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Heritage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Heritage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Heritage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Heritage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Heritage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Heritage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Heritage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.