Thunder Power Holdings, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.289

AIEV Stock   0.29  0  0.34%   
Thunder Power's future price is the expected price of Thunder Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thunder Power Holdings, performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Thunder Power Backtesting, Thunder Power Valuation, Thunder Power Correlation, Thunder Power Hype Analysis, Thunder Power Volatility, Thunder Power History as well as Thunder Power Performance.
  
At this time, Thunder Power's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to climb to 1.74 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop (0.04) in 2024. Please specify Thunder Power's target price for which you would like Thunder Power odds to be computed.

Thunder Power Target Price Odds to finish over 0.289

The tendency of Thunder Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.29 90 days 0.29 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thunder Power to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Thunder Power Holdings, probability density function shows the probability of Thunder Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.12 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Thunder Power will likely underperform. Additionally Thunder Power Holdings, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Thunder Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thunder Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thunder Power Holdings,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thunder Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.317.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.287.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.287.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.270.330.38
Details

Thunder Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thunder Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thunder Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thunder Power Holdings,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thunder Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Thunder Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thunder Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thunder Power Holdings, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thunder Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thunder Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Thunder Power has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thunder Power Holdings, was previously known as Feutune Light Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol FLFV.
Thunder Power generates negative cash flow from operations
Thunder Power has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AQR Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition of Thunder Power Holdings Inc Shares

Thunder Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thunder Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thunder Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thunder Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.3 K

Thunder Power Technical Analysis

Thunder Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thunder Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thunder Power Holdings,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thunder Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thunder Power Predictive Forecast Models

Thunder Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thunder Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thunder Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thunder Power Holdings,

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thunder Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thunder Power Holdings, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thunder Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thunder Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Thunder Power has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Thunder Power Holdings, was previously known as Feutune Light Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol FLFV.
Thunder Power generates negative cash flow from operations
Thunder Power has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: AQR Capital Managements Strategic Acquisition of Thunder Power Holdings Inc Shares

Additional Tools for Thunder Stock Analysis

When running Thunder Power's price analysis, check to measure Thunder Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thunder Power is operating at the current time. Most of Thunder Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thunder Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thunder Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thunder Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.