Alternative Income (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 68.78
| AIRE Stock | 67.30 0.30 0.44% |
Alternative |
Alternative Income Target Price Odds to finish below 68.78
The tendency of Alternative Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 68.78 after 90 days |
| 67.30 | 90 days | 68.78 | about 24.51 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternative Income to stay under 68.78 after 90 days from now is about 24.51 (This Alternative Income REIT probability density function shows the probability of Alternative Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternative Income REIT price to stay between its current price of 67.30 and 68.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alternative Income has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alternative Income average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alternative Income REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alternative Income REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alternative Income Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alternative Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternative Income REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alternative Income Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternative Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternative Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternative Income REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternative Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Alternative Income Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternative Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternative Income REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alternative Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Alternative Income paid 0.0155 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alternative Income REIT Trading Down 1.7 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
Alternative Income Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternative Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternative Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternative Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 80.5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.06 | |
| Shares Float | 57.9 M |
Alternative Income Technical Analysis
Alternative Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternative Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternative Income REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternative Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alternative Income Predictive Forecast Models
Alternative Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternative Income's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternative Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alternative Income REIT
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternative Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternative Income REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alternative Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 22nd of November 2024 Alternative Income paid 0.0155 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Alternative Income REIT Trading Down 1.7 percent - Time to Sell - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Alternative Stock Analysis
When running Alternative Income's price analysis, check to measure Alternative Income's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alternative Income is operating at the current time. Most of Alternative Income's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alternative Income's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alternative Income's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alternative Income to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.