Akamai Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 95.49
| AKAM Stock | USD 92.90 1.82 2.00% |
Akamai |
Akamai Technologies Target Price Odds to finish over 95.49
The tendency of Akamai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 95.49 or more in 90 days |
| 92.90 | 90 days | 95.49 | about 77.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akamai Technologies to move over $ 95.49 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.1 (This Akamai Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Akamai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akamai Technologies price to stay between its current price of $ 92.90 and $ 95.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Akamai Technologies has a beta of 0.98. This suggests Akamai Technologies market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Akamai Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally Akamai Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Akamai Technologies Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akamai Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akamai Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Akamai Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akamai Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akamai Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akamai Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akamai Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Akamai Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akamai Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akamai Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akamai Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Think Akamai Technologies Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative |
Akamai Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akamai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akamai Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akamai Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 155.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 864.4 M |
Akamai Technologies Technical Analysis
Akamai Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akamai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akamai Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akamai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akamai Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Akamai Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Akamai Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akamai Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akamai Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akamai Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akamai Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akamai Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Think Akamai Technologies Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative |
Check out Akamai Technologies Backtesting, Akamai Technologies Valuation, Akamai Technologies Correlation, Akamai Technologies Hype Analysis, Akamai Technologies Volatility, Akamai Technologies History as well as Akamai Technologies Performance. To learn how to invest in Akamai Stock, please use our How to Invest in Akamai Technologies guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akamai Technologies. If investors know Akamai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akamai Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.64) | Earnings Share 3.38 | Revenue Per Share 26.167 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 | Return On Assets 0.0419 |
The market value of Akamai Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akamai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akamai Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akamai Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akamai Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akamai Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akamai Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akamai Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akamai Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.