Akamai Technologies Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AKAM Stock | USD 88.12 2.41 2.81% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akamai Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 85.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.73. Akamai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Akamai Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Akamai Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Akamai Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength indicator of Akamai Technologies' share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Akamai Technologies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.553 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6455 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.0388 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3424 | Wall Street Target Price 98.9091 |
Using Akamai Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Akamai Technologies from the perspective of Akamai Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Akamai Technologies using Akamai Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Akamai using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Akamai Technologies' stock price.
Akamai Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Akamai Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Akamai Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Akamai Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 79.2161 | Short Percent 0.1113 | Short Ratio 3.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.9 M | 50 Day MA 84.9038 |
Akamai Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Akamai Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Akamai. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Akamai can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Akamai Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Akamai Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Akamai Technologies.
Akamai Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Akamai Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Akamai Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Akamai Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Akamai Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Akamai Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akamai Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 85.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.73. Akamai Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 85.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Akamai Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Akamai Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Akamai Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Akamai Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Akamai Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Akamai Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Akamai Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Akamai Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Akamai. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Akamai Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Akamai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Akamai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Akamai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Akamai Technologies Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Akamai Technologies' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1999-09-30 | Previous Quarter 850.3 M | Current Value 927.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 248.6 M |
Akamai Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Akamai Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 85.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.04, mean absolute percentage error of 7.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 124.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Akamai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Akamai Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Akamai Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Akamai Technologies | Akamai Technologies Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Akamai Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Akamai Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Akamai Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 83.45 and 88.46, respectively. We have considered Akamai Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Akamai Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Akamai Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1169 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0448 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0252 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 124.7301 |
Predictive Modules for Akamai Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akamai Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Akamai Technologies
For every potential investor in Akamai, whether a beginner or expert, Akamai Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Akamai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Akamai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Akamai Technologies' price trends.Akamai Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Akamai Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Akamai Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Akamai Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Akamai Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Akamai Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Akamai Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Akamai Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Akamai Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Akamai Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Akamai Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Akamai Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Akamai Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Akamai Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Akamai Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting akamai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.47 | |||
| Variance | 6.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Akamai Technologies to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Akamai Stock, please use our How to Invest in Akamai Technologies guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Internet Services & Infrastructure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Akamai Technologies. If investors know Akamai will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Akamai Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.553 | Earnings Share 3.39 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Akamai Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Akamai that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Akamai Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Akamai Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Akamai Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Akamai Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Akamai Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Akamai Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Akamai Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.