Akbank TAS (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 63.31
| AKBNK Stock | TRY 60.60 3.70 6.50% |
Akbank |
Akbank TAS Target Price Odds to finish below 63.31
The tendency of Akbank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 63.31 after 90 days |
| 60.60 | 90 days | 63.31 | over 95.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Akbank TAS to stay under 63.31 after 90 days from now is over 95.45 (This Akbank TAS probability density function shows the probability of Akbank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Akbank TAS price to stay between its current price of 60.60 and 63.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Akbank TAS has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Akbank TAS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Akbank TAS will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Akbank TAS has an alpha of 0.0167, implying that it can generate a 0.0167 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Akbank TAS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Akbank TAS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Akbank TAS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Akbank TAS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Akbank TAS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Akbank TAS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Akbank TAS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Akbank TAS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Akbank TAS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Akbank TAS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Akbank TAS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Akbank TAS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Akbank TAS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Akbank TAS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Akbank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Akbank TAS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Akbank TAS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 B |
Akbank TAS Technical Analysis
Akbank TAS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Akbank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Akbank TAS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Akbank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Akbank TAS Predictive Forecast Models
Akbank TAS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Akbank TAS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Akbank TAS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Akbank TAS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Akbank TAS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Akbank TAS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Akbank TAS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Akbank TAS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Akbank Stock
Akbank TAS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Akbank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Akbank with respect to the benefits of owning Akbank TAS security.