Adomos SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.92E-4

ALADO Stock  EUR 0.0002  0.00  0.00%   
Adomos SA's future price is the expected price of Adomos SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Adomos SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Adomos SA Backtesting, Adomos SA Valuation, Adomos SA Correlation, Adomos SA Hype Analysis, Adomos SA Volatility, Adomos SA History as well as Adomos SA Performance.
  
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Adomos SA Target Price Odds to finish over 1.92E-4

The tendency of Adomos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 0.0002  in 90 days
 0.0002 90 days 0.0002 
about 68.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Adomos SA to stay above € 0.0002  in 90 days from now is about 68.61 (This Adomos SA probability density function shows the probability of Adomos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Adomos SA price to stay between € 0.0002  and its current price of €2.0E-4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Adomos SA has a beta of 0.7. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Adomos SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Adomos SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Adomos SA has an alpha of 0.6666, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Adomos SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Adomos SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adomos SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000220.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000220.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000040.000220.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00020.00020.0002
Details

Adomos SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Adomos SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Adomos SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Adomos SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Adomos SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
0.000066
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Adomos SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Adomos SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Adomos SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adomos SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adomos SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adomos SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adomos SA has accumulated 4.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Adomos SA has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adomos SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adomos SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adomos SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adomos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adomos SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 6.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.85 M.

Adomos SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Adomos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Adomos SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adomos SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 M

Adomos SA Technical Analysis

Adomos SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Adomos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Adomos SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Adomos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Adomos SA Predictive Forecast Models

Adomos SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Adomos SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Adomos SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Adomos SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Adomos SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Adomos SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Adomos SA is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Adomos SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Adomos SA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Adomos SA has accumulated 4.67 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 38.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Adomos SA has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Adomos SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Adomos SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Adomos SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Adomos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Adomos SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 6.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.85 M.

Additional Tools for Adomos Stock Analysis

When running Adomos SA's price analysis, check to measure Adomos SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adomos SA is operating at the current time. Most of Adomos SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adomos SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adomos SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adomos SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.