Groupe Airwell (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.40
| ALAIR Stock | 1.40 0.04 2.94% |
Groupe |
Groupe Airwell Target Price Odds to finish over 1.40
The tendency of Groupe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.40 | 90 days | 1.40 | about 79.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupe Airwell to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.77 (This Groupe Airwell Socit probability density function shows the probability of Groupe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Groupe Airwell has a beta of 0.41. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Groupe Airwell average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Groupe Airwell Socit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Groupe Airwell Socit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Groupe Airwell Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Groupe Airwell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe Airwell Socit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Groupe Airwell Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupe Airwell is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupe Airwell's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupe Airwell Socit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupe Airwell within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Groupe Airwell Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupe Airwell for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupe Airwell Socit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Groupe Airwell Socit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Groupe Airwell Socit may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Groupe Airwell Socit has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Groupe Airwell Technical Analysis
Groupe Airwell's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groupe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groupe Airwell Socit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groupe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Groupe Airwell Predictive Forecast Models
Groupe Airwell's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupe Airwell's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groupe Airwell's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Groupe Airwell Socit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupe Airwell for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupe Airwell Socit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Groupe Airwell Socit generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Groupe Airwell Socit may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Groupe Airwell Socit has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Groupe Stock Analysis
When running Groupe Airwell's price analysis, check to measure Groupe Airwell's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupe Airwell is operating at the current time. Most of Groupe Airwell's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupe Airwell's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupe Airwell's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupe Airwell to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.