Corporacion Financiera (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.9

ALB Stock  EUR 47.75  0.30  0.63%   
Corporacion Financiera's future price is the expected price of Corporacion Financiera instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Corporacion Financiera Alba performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Corporacion Financiera Backtesting, Corporacion Financiera Valuation, Corporacion Financiera Correlation, Corporacion Financiera Hype Analysis, Corporacion Financiera Volatility, Corporacion Financiera History as well as Corporacion Financiera Performance.
  
Please specify Corporacion Financiera's target price for which you would like Corporacion Financiera odds to be computed.

Corporacion Financiera Target Price Odds to finish over 46.9

The tendency of Corporacion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 46.90  in 90 days
 47.75 90 days 46.90 
about 92.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Corporacion Financiera to stay above € 46.90  in 90 days from now is about 92.5 (This Corporacion Financiera Alba probability density function shows the probability of Corporacion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Corporacion Financiera price to stay between € 46.90  and its current price of €47.75 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Corporacion Financiera has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Corporacion Financiera average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Corporacion Financiera Alba will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Corporacion Financiera Alba has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Corporacion Financiera Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Corporacion Financiera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Corporacion Financiera. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.9247.7548.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.9848.7749.61
Details

Corporacion Financiera Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Corporacion Financiera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Corporacion Financiera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Corporacion Financiera Alba, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Corporacion Financiera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.26

Corporacion Financiera Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Corporacion Financiera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Corporacion Financiera can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corporacion Financiera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Corporacion Financiera Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Corporacion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Corporacion Financiera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Corporacion Financiera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding58.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments176.7 M

Corporacion Financiera Technical Analysis

Corporacion Financiera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Corporacion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Corporacion Financiera Alba. In general, you should focus on analyzing Corporacion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Corporacion Financiera Predictive Forecast Models

Corporacion Financiera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Corporacion Financiera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Corporacion Financiera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Corporacion Financiera

Checking the ongoing alerts about Corporacion Financiera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Corporacion Financiera help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Corporacion Financiera generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Corporacion Stock

Corporacion Financiera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Corporacion Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Corporacion with respect to the benefits of owning Corporacion Financiera security.