Bd Multimedia (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.29

ALBDM Stock  EUR 1.11  0.03  2.63%   
Bd Multimedia's future price is the expected price of Bd Multimedia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bd Multimedia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bd Multimedia Backtesting, Bd Multimedia Valuation, Bd Multimedia Correlation, Bd Multimedia Hype Analysis, Bd Multimedia Volatility, Bd Multimedia History as well as Bd Multimedia Performance.
  
Please specify Bd Multimedia's target price for which you would like Bd Multimedia odds to be computed.

Bd Multimedia Target Price Odds to finish over 1.29

The tendency of ALBDM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 1.29  or more in 90 days
 1.11 90 days 1.29 
about 54.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bd Multimedia to move over € 1.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 54.68 (This Bd Multimedia probability density function shows the probability of ALBDM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bd Multimedia price to stay between its current price of € 1.11  and € 1.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bd Multimedia has a beta of 0.97. This suggests Bd Multimedia market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Bd Multimedia is expected to follow. Additionally Bd Multimedia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bd Multimedia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bd Multimedia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bd Multimedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.116.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.016.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.866.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.081.251.42
Details

Bd Multimedia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bd Multimedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bd Multimedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bd Multimedia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bd Multimedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Bd Multimedia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bd Multimedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bd Multimedia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bd Multimedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bd Multimedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bd Multimedia may become a speculative penny stock
Bd Multimedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (522 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 302 K.
Bd Multimedia has accumulated about 2.64 M in cash with (2.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.56, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Bd Multimedia Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALBDM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bd Multimedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bd Multimedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 M

Bd Multimedia Technical Analysis

Bd Multimedia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALBDM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bd Multimedia. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALBDM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bd Multimedia Predictive Forecast Models

Bd Multimedia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bd Multimedia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bd Multimedia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bd Multimedia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bd Multimedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bd Multimedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bd Multimedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bd Multimedia has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bd Multimedia may become a speculative penny stock
Bd Multimedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (522 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 302 K.
Bd Multimedia has accumulated about 2.64 M in cash with (2.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.56, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for ALBDM Stock Analysis

When running Bd Multimedia's price analysis, check to measure Bd Multimedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bd Multimedia is operating at the current time. Most of Bd Multimedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bd Multimedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bd Multimedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bd Multimedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.