Alternative Liquidity (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0381

ALF Stock   0.05  0.00  0.00%   
Alternative Liquidity's future price is the expected price of Alternative Liquidity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alternative Liquidity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alternative Liquidity Backtesting, Alternative Liquidity Valuation, Alternative Liquidity Correlation, Alternative Liquidity Hype Analysis, Alternative Liquidity Volatility, Alternative Liquidity History as well as Alternative Liquidity Performance.
  
Please specify Alternative Liquidity's target price for which you would like Alternative Liquidity odds to be computed.

Alternative Liquidity Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0381

The tendency of Alternative Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.04  or more in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.04 
about 12.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alternative Liquidity to drop to  0.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.97 (This Alternative Liquidity probability density function shows the probability of Alternative Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alternative Liquidity price to stay between  0.04  and its current price of 0.0485 at the end of the 90-day period is about 83.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alternative Liquidity has a beta of -0.71. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alternative Liquidity are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alternative Liquidity is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alternative Liquidity has an alpha of 0.3818, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alternative Liquidity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alternative Liquidity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alternative Liquidity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.052.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.042.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0010.052.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.05
Details

Alternative Liquidity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alternative Liquidity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alternative Liquidity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alternative Liquidity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alternative Liquidity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Alternative Liquidity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alternative Liquidity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alternative Liquidity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alternative Liquidity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alternative Liquidity has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Alternative Liquidity generates negative cash flow from operations

Alternative Liquidity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alternative Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alternative Liquidity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alternative Liquidity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding146.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments218.7 K

Alternative Liquidity Technical Analysis

Alternative Liquidity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alternative Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alternative Liquidity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alternative Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alternative Liquidity Predictive Forecast Models

Alternative Liquidity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alternative Liquidity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alternative Liquidity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alternative Liquidity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alternative Liquidity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alternative Liquidity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alternative Liquidity has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Alternative Liquidity has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Alternative Liquidity generates negative cash flow from operations

Other Information on Investing in Alternative Stock

Alternative Liquidity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alternative Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alternative with respect to the benefits of owning Alternative Liquidity security.