Alony Hetz (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2935.75

ALHE Stock  ILS 2,920  59.00  2.06%   
Alony Hetz's future price is the expected price of Alony Hetz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alony Hetz Properties performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alony Hetz Backtesting, Alony Hetz Valuation, Alony Hetz Correlation, Alony Hetz Hype Analysis, Alony Hetz Volatility, Alony Hetz History as well as Alony Hetz Performance.
  
Please specify Alony Hetz's target price for which you would like Alony Hetz odds to be computed.

Alony Hetz Target Price Odds to finish below 2935.75

The tendency of Alony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under S 2,936  after 90 days
 2,920 90 days 2,936 
about 79.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alony Hetz to stay under S 2,936  after 90 days from now is about 79.19 (This Alony Hetz Properties probability density function shows the probability of Alony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alony Hetz Properties price to stay between its current price of S 2,920  and S 2,936  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alony Hetz has a beta of 0.0467. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alony Hetz average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alony Hetz Properties will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alony Hetz Properties has an alpha of 0.1806, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alony Hetz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alony Hetz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alony Hetz Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9182,9202,922
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,3342,3363,212
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,8612,8632,866
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,8432,9483,053
Details

Alony Hetz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alony Hetz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alony Hetz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alony Hetz Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alony Hetz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
167.38
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Alony Hetz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alony Hetz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alony Hetz Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alony Hetz has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Alony Hetz Properties has accumulated 14.94 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 128.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Alony Hetz Properties has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Alony Hetz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alony Hetz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alony Hetz Properties sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alony to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alony Hetz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 15.0% of Alony Hetz shares are held by company insiders

Alony Hetz Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alony Hetz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alony Hetz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding174 M

Alony Hetz Technical Analysis

Alony Hetz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alony Hetz Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alony Hetz Predictive Forecast Models

Alony Hetz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alony Hetz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alony Hetz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alony Hetz Properties

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alony Hetz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alony Hetz Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alony Hetz has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Alony Hetz Properties has accumulated 14.94 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 128.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Alony Hetz Properties has a current ratio of 0.41, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Alony Hetz until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Alony Hetz's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Alony Hetz Properties sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Alony to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Alony Hetz's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 15.0% of Alony Hetz shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alony Stock

Alony Hetz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alony Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alony with respect to the benefits of owning Alony Hetz security.