Allied Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0006
| ALID Stock | USD 0.05 0.01 16.75% |
Allied |
Allied Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0006
The tendency of Allied OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days |
| 0.05 | 90 days | 0.0006 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Allied Corp to drop to $ 0.0006 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Allied Corp probability density function shows the probability of Allied OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Allied Corp price to stay between $ 0.0006 and its current price of $0.0474 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.65 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Allied Corp will likely underperform. Moreover Allied Corp has an alpha of 1.1946, implying that it can generate a 1.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Allied Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Allied Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Allied Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Allied Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Allied Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Allied Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Allied Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Allied Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Allied Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Allied Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Allied Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Allied Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Allied Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Allied Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Allied Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Allied Corp currently holds 4.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Allied Corp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Allied Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allied Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allied Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allied to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allied Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 165.6 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.12 K. | |
| Allied Corp currently holds about 80.69 K in cash with (4.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 53.0% of Allied Corp shares are held by company insiders |
Allied Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Allied OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Allied Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allied Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 4.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 66.1 M |
Allied Corp Technical Analysis
Allied Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Allied OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Allied Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Allied OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Allied Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Allied Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Allied Corp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Allied Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Allied Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Allied Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Allied Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Allied Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Allied Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Allied Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Allied Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Allied Corp currently holds 4.81 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.19, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Allied Corp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Allied Corp until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Allied Corp's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Allied Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Allied to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Allied Corp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 165.6 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 74.12 K. | |
| Allied Corp currently holds about 80.69 K in cash with (4.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 53.0% of Allied Corp shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Allied OTC Stock
Allied Corp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Allied OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Allied with respect to the benefits of owning Allied Corp security.