Invibes Advertising (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.75
| ALINV Stock | 2.75 0.06 2.14% |
Invibes |
Invibes Advertising Target Price Odds to finish over 2.75
The tendency of Invibes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.75 | 90 days | 2.75 | about 91.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invibes Advertising to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.99 (This Invibes Advertising NV probability density function shows the probability of Invibes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Invibes Advertising NV has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Invibes Advertising are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Invibes Advertising NV is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Invibes Advertising NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Invibes Advertising Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Invibes Advertising
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invibes Advertising. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invibes Advertising's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Invibes Advertising Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invibes Advertising is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invibes Advertising's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invibes Advertising NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invibes Advertising within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.72 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
Invibes Advertising Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invibes Advertising for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invibes Advertising can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Invibes Advertising generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Invibes Advertising Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Invibes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Invibes Advertising's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invibes Advertising's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.1 M |
Invibes Advertising Technical Analysis
Invibes Advertising's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invibes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invibes Advertising NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invibes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Invibes Advertising Predictive Forecast Models
Invibes Advertising's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invibes Advertising's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invibes Advertising's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Invibes Advertising
Checking the ongoing alerts about Invibes Advertising for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invibes Advertising help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Invibes Advertising generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Invibes Stock Analysis
When running Invibes Advertising's price analysis, check to measure Invibes Advertising's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invibes Advertising is operating at the current time. Most of Invibes Advertising's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invibes Advertising's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invibes Advertising's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invibes Advertising to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.