Kko International (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0924

ALKKO Stock  EUR 0.11  0.02  19.05%   
Kko International's future price is the expected price of Kko International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kko International SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kko International Backtesting, Kko International Valuation, Kko International Correlation, Kko International Hype Analysis, Kko International Volatility, Kko International History as well as Kko International Performance.
  
Please specify Kko International's target price for which you would like Kko International odds to be computed.

Kko International Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0924

The tendency of Kko Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.09  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 0.09 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kko International to drop to € 0.09  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Kko International SA probability density function shows the probability of Kko Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kko International price to stay between € 0.09  and its current price of €0.11 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kko International SA has a beta of -1.21. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Kko International SA are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Kko International is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Kko International SA has an alpha of 1.6256, implying that it can generate a 1.63 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kko International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kko International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kko International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1113.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0813.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1113.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.100.12
Details

Kko International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kko International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kko International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kko International SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kko International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.63
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Kko International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kko International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kko International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kko International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Kko International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Kko International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Kko International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kko International SA has accumulated 1.14 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 263.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kko International has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kko International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kko International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kko International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kko to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kko International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 224.68 K. Net Loss for the year was (89.5 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.66 M).
Kko International SA has accumulated about 227.36 K in cash with (2.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Kko International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kko Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kko International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kko International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments227.4 K

Kko International Technical Analysis

Kko International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kko Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kko International SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kko Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kko International Predictive Forecast Models

Kko International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kko International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kko International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kko International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kko International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kko International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kko International is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Kko International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Kko International appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Kko International has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Kko International SA has accumulated 1.14 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 263.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Kko International has a current ratio of 0.08, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kko International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kko International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kko International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kko to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kko International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 224.68 K. Net Loss for the year was (89.5 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.66 M).
Kko International SA has accumulated about 227.36 K in cash with (2.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Additional Tools for Kko Stock Analysis

When running Kko International's price analysis, check to measure Kko International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kko International is operating at the current time. Most of Kko International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kko International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kko International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kko International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.