AllDay Marts (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.14
| ALLDY Stock | 0.14 0.01 7.69% |
AllDay |
AllDay Marts Target Price Odds to finish over 0.14
The tendency of AllDay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.14 | 90 days | 0.14 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AllDay Marts to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This AllDay Marts probability density function shows the probability of AllDay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AllDay Marts has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding AllDay Marts are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AllDay Marts is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AllDay Marts has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AllDay Marts Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AllDay Marts
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AllDay Marts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AllDay Marts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AllDay Marts Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AllDay Marts is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AllDay Marts' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AllDay Marts, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AllDay Marts within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
AllDay Marts Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AllDay Marts for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AllDay Marts can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AllDay Marts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AllDay Marts has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AllDay Marts generates negative cash flow from operations |
AllDay Marts Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AllDay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AllDay Marts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AllDay Marts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 927.8 M |
AllDay Marts Technical Analysis
AllDay Marts' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AllDay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AllDay Marts. In general, you should focus on analyzing AllDay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AllDay Marts Predictive Forecast Models
AllDay Marts' time-series forecasting models is one of many AllDay Marts' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AllDay Marts' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AllDay Marts
Checking the ongoing alerts about AllDay Marts for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AllDay Marts help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AllDay Marts generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AllDay Marts has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| AllDay Marts generates negative cash flow from operations |
Additional Tools for AllDay Stock Analysis
When running AllDay Marts' price analysis, check to measure AllDay Marts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AllDay Marts is operating at the current time. Most of AllDay Marts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AllDay Marts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AllDay Marts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AllDay Marts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.