Lexibook Linguistic (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.93
| ALLEX Stock | EUR 3.99 0.01 0.25% |
Lexibook |
Lexibook Linguistic Target Price Odds to finish over 3.93
The tendency of Lexibook Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 3.93 in 90 days |
| 3.99 | 90 days | 3.93 | about 63.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lexibook Linguistic to stay above € 3.93 in 90 days from now is about 63.36 (This Lexibook Linguistic Electronic probability density function shows the probability of Lexibook Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lexibook Linguistic price to stay between € 3.93 and its current price of €3.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lexibook Linguistic has a beta of 0.03. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lexibook Linguistic average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lexibook Linguistic Electronic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lexibook Linguistic Electronic has an alpha of 0.0214, implying that it can generate a 0.0214 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lexibook Linguistic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lexibook Linguistic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lexibook Linguistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lexibook Linguistic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lexibook Linguistic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lexibook Linguistic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lexibook Linguistic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lexibook Linguistic Electronic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lexibook Linguistic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Lexibook Linguistic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lexibook Linguistic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lexibook Linguistic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lexibook Linguistic has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lexibook Linguistic Electronic has accumulated about 2.45 M in cash with (2.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Lexibook Linguistic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lexibook Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lexibook Linguistic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lexibook Linguistic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Lexibook Linguistic Technical Analysis
Lexibook Linguistic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lexibook Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lexibook Linguistic Electronic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lexibook Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lexibook Linguistic Predictive Forecast Models
Lexibook Linguistic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lexibook Linguistic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lexibook Linguistic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lexibook Linguistic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lexibook Linguistic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lexibook Linguistic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lexibook Linguistic has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Lexibook Linguistic Electronic has accumulated about 2.45 M in cash with (2.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Lexibook Stock Analysis
When running Lexibook Linguistic's price analysis, check to measure Lexibook Linguistic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lexibook Linguistic is operating at the current time. Most of Lexibook Linguistic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lexibook Linguistic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lexibook Linguistic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lexibook Linguistic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.