Realites (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.36
| ALREA Stock | EUR 1.63 0.02 1.24% |
Realites |
Realites Target Price Odds to finish over 37.36
The tendency of Realites Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 37.36 or more in 90 days |
| 1.63 | 90 days | 37.36 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Realites to move over € 37.36 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Realites probability density function shows the probability of Realites Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Realites price to stay between its current price of € 1.63 and € 37.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Realites has a beta of 0.0223. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Realites average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Realites will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Realites has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Realites Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Realites
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Realites. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Realites Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Realites is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Realites' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Realites, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Realites within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Realites Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Realites for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Realites can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Realites generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Realites has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Realites may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Realites has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Realites has accumulated about 98.88 M in cash with (20.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Realites Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Realites Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Realites' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Realites' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98.9 M |
Realites Technical Analysis
Realites' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Realites Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Realites. In general, you should focus on analyzing Realites Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Realites Predictive Forecast Models
Realites' time-series forecasting models is one of many Realites' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Realites' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Realites
Checking the ongoing alerts about Realites for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Realites help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Realites generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Realites has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Realites may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Realites has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Realites has accumulated about 98.88 M in cash with (20.22 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.03, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Realites Stock Analysis
When running Realites' price analysis, check to measure Realites' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Realites is operating at the current time. Most of Realites' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Realites' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Realites' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Realites to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.